MLB is hyping today’s MLB debuts by Mariners Jarred Kelenic and Logan Gilbert as if it was the biggest debut day ever in history… even though Kelenic is only ranked #4 on MLB’s own prospect list behind Wander Franco, Ad Rutschman, and Spencer Torkelson and just ahead of future Mariner teammate Julio Rodriguez.
I suppose some extra pizzazz comes with Gilbert’s simultaneous promotion. Gilbert is ranked #28 on the MLB prospect list, two spots behind fellow Mariners prospect Emerson Hancock.
Now if only these guys can break the solid Mariners tradition, starting the day after Felix Hernandez debuted, of hyped prospects not panning out.
EFL Standings for 2021
EFL | ||||||
TEAM | WINS | LOSSES | PCT. | GB | RS | RA |
Flint Hill Tornadoes | 26 | 12 | .686 | — | 166.2 | 111.3 |
Peshastin Pears | 25 | 11 | .683 | 0.5 | 156.8 | 106.8 |
Old Detroit Wolverines | 25 | 13 | .655 | 1.2 | 211.5 | 150.5 |
D.C. Balk | 21 | 10 | .684 | 1.3 | 163.0 | 111.2 |
Haviland Dragons | 25 | 13 | .650 | 1.3 | 177.6 | 135.3 |
Kaline Drive | 24 | 14 | .630 | 2.1 | 173.3 | 134.7 |
Portland Rosebuds | 18 | 18 | .514 | 6.6 | 183.7 | 178.8 |
Canberra Kangaroos | 16 | 15 | .507 | 6.8 | 166.2 | 164.5 |
Cottage Cheese | 18 | 19 | .489 | 7.5 | 205.1 | 217.6 |
Pittsburgh Alleghenys | 16 | 18 | .480 | 7.7 | 161.1 | 166.0 |
Bellingham Cascades | 15 | 19 | .439 | 9.1 | 134.2 | 160.8 |
Flint Hill: W, 6 – (-3). (34 PA , .219, .265, .500; 20 ip, 4 er, 1.80 ERA). Those 20 outstanding innings came from just four pitchers. Julio Urias had the best day: 7 ip, 1 er. Teoscar Hernandez was the star hitter (for all of baseball, according to Baseball Reference, which lists him as #1 for hitters for May 12), going 2 for 3 with two homers and a walk. The guy I’ve been kicking myself all month for not drafting, Tyler Naquin, went 0 for 2, as a very small sign from God that mercy is not entirely extinct in the universe.
Peshastin: “L”, 2 – 1. (34 PA, .156, .206, .219; 3.7 ip, 0 er, 0.00 ERA). Sometimes it almost seems like a team’s pitchers were pitching to their own hitters. Three Pear relievers covered about 40% of a game. Scale that up to 100%, and those relievers’ 2 hits allowed become 5 – the exact number hit by Pear hitters. The 1 walk becomes 2 (again, matching the Pear offense). Pear pitchers struck out 3, one short of the 4 that would have congrued with Pear batters striking out 10 times. And those 0 runs allowed would have fit nicely with the team’s .415 OPS, although the mercy circuit in Dave’s computer blew itself out awarding the Pear 2 runs scored.
Old Detroit: “W”, 7 – 8. (29 PA, .333, .379, .444; 1 ip, 3 er, 27.00 ERA). The other day I celebrated not knowing for whom Duane Underwood Jr. pitched, making him as mysterious as a Mr. Underhill checking into the Prancing Pony. Of course, in the Lord of the Rings, it only took one evening for Mr. Underhill to disastrously reveal his true identity. So it comes as no shock that Mr. Underwood might do the same: 1 ip, 3 er. A fat triple chulk, demonstrating without even needing to look it up that Mr. Underwood pitches for the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Fortunately for Mr. Underwood, Carlos Correa was there to break out of a slump and lead a strong offense with 3 singles and a walk in four plate appearances – somehow only the 16th best hitting performance of the day, according to Baseball Reference, even though he cost his team(s) zero outs.
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Speaking of hyped prospects having trouble panning out: Ke’Bryan Hayes and Nate Pearson show up on the MLB prospect list at #s 9 and 10; which I think makes them #s 1 and 2 on the MLB injured prospect list. Yes, I know, Pearson pitched the other day, but he pitched so poorly he put his fans on the psychological injured list, pining for his return to the pines.
DC: “L”, 6 – 4. (33 PA, .276, .364, .448; 1 ip, 0 er, 0.00 ERA). These frontrunning teams are having trouble with integrity of results. 4 of the 5 solidly top-tier teams have mock wins or losses. (I guess we could call them Mock wins or losses, since I created them to deal with EFL’s quirks.) The Balk pretended to lose a game even though they hit well and even their tiny bit of pitching was scoreless. Bryce Harper went 3 for 5 with a double, and Ryan McMahon went 3 for 7 with two doubles to lead the Balkan way.
Haviland: “W”, 7 – 8. (43 PA, .405, .419, .548; no pitching). Amed Rosario went 4 for 5 with a double, an outcome Baseball Prospectus ranked 7 places higher than Carlos Correa’s perfect day. If we added one base and one out to Correa’s day would it have been a better day? Actually, sacrifice hits at random times in the game lower a team’s expected runs created.
Even if the out for a base is a good trade, is Rosario’s day better even though the Dragons have him allocated 100% on the bench?
Also, if we want to channel Charlie Steiner again, we could say “All ten Dragons had a base hit except Ramon Laureano” over and over, which is true as long as we realize Maikel Franco’s only safety was a Steiner hit (ie, a walk).
Kaline: W, 6 – 0. (55 PA, .333, .345, .407; 11.4 ip, 1 er, 0.79 ERA). Willson Contreras led a solid Drive offense, going 4 for 5 (all singles, #24 on BR’s list for the day). Aaron Judge and Jonathan Schoop both were also almost perfect at 3 for 4 (#s 32 and 36 on the day). Max Fried pitched well over 6 ip, allowing 1 earned run, and got tons of scoreless relief. The Drive earned an honest win, which cut the gap between them and the top 5 tier almost in half to a mere 0.8 games. The Drive are now closer to the third place Wolverines than the W’s are to the first place Tornados. The Drive also added 50% to the chasm separating them from the seventh place, now up to a vast 4.5 games. I think Drive deserves the same honesty from us as they showed by submitting a true win:
“Welcome to the top tier, Kaline.
We look forward to you elevating
the integrity of our league’s leaders.”
Portland: W (-1), L 1: (-4) – 3. (43 PA, .128, .186, .282; 12 ip, 8 er, 6.00 ERA). It would have been 11 earned runs had Jon Gray not benefited from timely errors. The database — its mercy circuit in smoking tatters — was not amused at this dodgy business, and penalized Portland plenty with a lost win and a won loss. Of the 10 Portly hitters, six recorded 0-fers spanning 26 plate appearances, the other four scattering 5 hits over 16 at bats. Tyler O’Neill’s hit was a home run. The Rosebuds fell 1.1 games further behind the fraternal Tornados, but did manage to hang on to inherit the top spot in the grounded tier
Canberra: W, 4 – 3. (36 PA, .235, .278, .324; 11 ip, 3 er , 2.45 ERA). Casey Mize pitched well (6 ip, 2 er) and got good backing from 4 relievers to secure a real win despite relatively feeble offense. Kyle Tucker wasn’t feeble. He homered and singled in his 4 trips to the plate. This the ‘Roos emerged clearly (if narrowly) above .500 and only 0.2 games behind the Rosebuds.
Cottage: L, 1 – 5. (30 PA, .143, .200, .250; 14.3 ip, 6 er, 3.78 ERA). Taijuan Walker had another good game (7 ip, 1 er) to bring his May ERA down to 2.25. Andrew Heaney stumbled (5.3 ip, 5 er), clearly still under the influence of the Wolverines’ miasma. Of the Cheese’ 4 hits, 3 were doubles, but that’s a paltry amount of offense to spread over 9 innings.
Pittsburgh: W, 11 – 3. (41 PA, .273, .415, .667; 5.7 ip, 1 er, 1.58 ERA). Here’s another team sucking offense out of the game with its pitching, but concentrating the pain on others by not correspondingly reducing their own offense. Domonic Smith led the bombardment, going 3 for 4 with a double, and Moustakas, Altuve, Muncy and Vaughn homered. Furthermore, the Alleghenys added 8 walks to their 9 hits to just overwhelm their opposition. Other than the Tornados (who took over first place) and the Drive (who forced the top tier to recognize Kaline’s membership in their august number), the Alleghenys were the only team in the EFL to end the day closer to first place than they started it.
Bellingham: L, 3 – 7. (34 PA, .258, .324, .258; 3.6 ip, 2 er, 5.00 ERA). Mediocre offense and pitching doomed the Cascades. Justin Dunn was the pitching culprit (3.3 ip, 2 er), and most of the lineup fell short on the hitting side. Rhys Hoskins (#40 per BP), Tim Anderson (#42), and Kevin Newman (#67!!) all went 2 for 5, with Hoskins adding a bit of luster with his walk, half of the team’s total.
Combined MLB + EFL Standings for 2021
AL East | ||||
TEAM | WINS | LOSSES | PCT. | GB |
Flint Hill Tornadoes | 26 | 12 | .686 | — |
Old Detroit Wolverines | 25 | 13 | .655 | 1.2 |
Boston Red Sox | 22 | 16 | .579 | 4 |
New York Yankees | 20 | 16 | .556 | 5 |
Toronto Blue Jays | 19 | 16 | .543 | 5.5 |
Tampa Bay Rays | 19 | 19 | .500 | 7 |
Baltimore Orioles | 16 | 21 | .432 | 9.5 |
NL East | ||||
TEAM | WINS | LOSSES | PCT. | GB |
D.C. Balk | 21 | 10 | .684 | — |
New York Mets | 18 | 13 | .581 | 3.2 |
Philadelphia Phillies | 20 | 17 | .541 | 4.2 |
Canberra Kangaroos | 16 | 15 | .507 | 5.5 |
Atlanta Braves | 17 | 19 | .472 | 6.7 |
Miami Marlins | 16 | 20 | .444 | 7.7 |
Washington Nationals | 13 | 19 | .406 | 8.7 |
AL Central | ||||
TEAM | WINS | LOSSES | PCT. | GB |
Chicago White Sox | 21 | 13 | .618 | — |
Cleveland Indians | 20 | 14 | .588 | 1 |
Pittsburgh Alleghenys | 16 | 18 | .480 | 4.7 |
Kansas City Royals | 16 | 19 | .457 | 5.5 |
Bellingham Cascades | 15 | 19 | .439 | 6.1 |
Minnesota Twins | 12 | 22 | .353 | 9 |
Detroit Tigers | 12 | 24 | .333 | 10 |
NL Central | ||||
TEAM | WINS | LOSSES | PCT. | GB |
St. Louis Cardinals | 22 | 15 | .595 | — |
Milwaukee Brewers | 20 | 17 | .541 | 2 |
Cincinnati Reds | 17 | 17 | .500 | 3.5 |
Cottage Cheese | 18 | 19 | .489 | 3.9 |
Chicago Cubs | 17 | 19 | .472 | 4.5 |
Pittsburgh Pirates | 15 | 21 | .417 | 6.5 |
AL West | ||||
TEAM | WINS | LOSSES | PCT. | GB |
Haviland Dragons | 25 | 13 | .650 | — |
Kaline Drive | 24 | 14 | .630 | 0.8 |
Oakland A’s | 23 | 15 | .605 | 1.7 |
Houston Astros | 20 | 17 | .541 | 4.2 |
Seattle Mariners | 18 | 19 | .486 | 6.2 |
Texas Rangers | 18 | 20 | .474 | 6.7 |
Los Angeles Angels | 16 | 20 | .444 | 7.7 |
NL West | ||||
TEAM | WINS | LOSSES | PCT. | GB |
Peshastin Pears | 25 | 11 | .683 | — |
San Francisco Giants | 22 | 14 | .611 | 2.6 |
San Diego Padres | 21 | 16 | .568 | 4.1 |
Los Angeles Dodgers | 20 | 17 | .541 | 5.1 |
Portland Rosebuds | 18 | 18 | .514 | 6.1 |
Arizona Diamondbacks | 17 | 20 | .459 | 8.1 |
Colorado Rockies | 12 | 24 | .333 | 12.6 |
Thanks for the kind words about the Drive. You’ll also note that we are still in the middle of the standings where we have always hoped to be, where we are most comfortable. Medianocrity is us.